5. Risk capitalist perspective
Moving away from the classic approach
Many brow artists who own businesses often say, "The classic valuation method doesn't capture all the assets and growth potential of my business!" It's a sentiment that can even perplex seasoned investors, some of whom have been in the beauty industry for over 34 years. They find such claims a bit hard to quantify. However, it's true that when we're discussing risk capital, a business's valuation can exceed what you'd arrive at using more traditional methods.
In search of the “hockey stick”
So, what exactly is this "hockey stick" we hear about in the context of risk capital? The term describes a particular growth trajectory for a business. Visualize an actual hockey stick; it's flat for a good stretch and then curves upward sharply. Similarly, a business might initially experience modest growth but is expected to see a sudden, sharp surge in revenue or customer base. On a graph, this kind of growth really does look like a hockey stick—the "blade" represents the initial period of flat growth, and the "shaft" symbolizes the sudden rise.
Venture capitalists are particularly interested in this "hockey stick" pattern. Why? Because they're looking for high returns on their investment. These investors pour money into startups and new ventures, expecting these businesses to scale up and become highly profitable. When a business experiences this rapid, hockey stick-like growth, venture capitalists can often make back their investment many times over. This enables them to offset the losses from other, less successful investments.
So, when evaluating the worth of your brow business, if you can demonstrate real potential for this kind of exponential growth, then the valuation criteria change entirely. In such scenarios, the worth of your business could very well meet or even surpass the numbers we initially mentioned.
Probability of “hockey stick” growth in brow business
When considering the likelihood of "hockey stick" growth in the brow business, two crucial, interrelated factors come into play: substantial proof of high demand and unique, proprietary assets. Without these key elements, the chances of convincing venture capitalists to agree to a high valuation for your business are slim.
Understanding "High Demand”
While "high demand" isn't a formal economic term, it essentially refers to a widespread, intrinsic need for what your brow business offers. This means you should aim to provide a solution that addresses a problem for many people. Once you consider this, you'll realize that there are only a limited number of such "problem-solution opportunities" within the brow business sector.
Intangible Solutions Explored
When discussing intangible solutions, the focus is primarily on brow-related services and training programs. The last significant surge in demand that we saw was with the advent of microblading around 2015. This led to an extraordinary "hockey stick" growth for the entire industry, peaking between 2016 and 2018. Since then, there have been minor surges, but nothing that comes close to that level of impact. So, if your brow business is centered on offering well-established services like Powder Brows or Microblading, albeit with slight variations, this is unlikely to attract venture capitalists looking for exponential growth opportunities.
The key takeaway is this: For a venture capitalist, doing the same thing in a slightly different way doesn't make a compelling case for hockey stick growth. Even scaling your service—such as offering training online—isn't a unique competitive advantage if everyone else in the industry is doing the same.